Decisions

Rationality: 6 key ideas

The core ideas of Rationality, each in under a minute, written in our own words. Want the full depth? Get the book.

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  1. IDEA 1 OF 6

    Rationality is a toolkit

    Logic, probability, statistics and decision theory are tools anyone can learn to reason better.

  2. IDEA 2 OF 6

    Think like a Bayesian

    Update beliefs in proportion to the strength of new evidence, starting from how likely something was before.

  3. IDEA 3 OF 6

    Correlation isn't causation

    Before concluding A causes B, look for controlled comparisons and other explanations.

  4. IDEA 4 OF 6

    Motivated reasoning

    People reason to protect identity.

    Create norms that reward changing your mind.

  5. IDEA 5 OF 6

    Respect base rates

    Start with how common something is before considering vivid specifics.

  6. IDEA 6 OF 6

    Rationality is a public good

    Institutions like science, courts and free speech help societies reason better than individuals.

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